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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - January 2008 

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- Government of Canada Securities 2008

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


  2005 2006 2007
 


      Q1 Q2 Q3

Annualized growth rates (per cent)
Real gross domestic product 3.1 2.8 3.5 3.8 2.9
Final domestic demand 4.5 4.7 2.8 4.9 4.6
Employment growth 1.4 1.9 3.9 1.3 1.7

Other          
Unemployment rate 6.8 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.0
Current account balance
 (percentage of GDP)
2.0 1.6 1.7 1.7 0.3

Source: Statistics Canada.
Government of Canada federal debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance Canada's net international liabilities

Upcoming economic data releases of interest


January February March

November GDP
(January 31)
January Labour Force Survey
(February 8)
National and Economic Accounts
(October-December 2007)
(March 3)
  January CPI
(February 19)
December GDP
(March 3)
    February Labour Force Survey
(March 7)
    February CPI
(March 18)
    January GDP
(March 31)

Consumer Price Index

3-month treasury bill rates

10-year government bond rates

Exchange rate

Overnight money market rate

Canadian monetary aggregates

Primary Market

Outstanding Government of Canada treasury bills, bonds (by term to maturity) and retail debt



Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date Term Maturity
date
Coupon rate Issue amount Average price Average yield Auction coverage** Tail***

  (years)   (%) (millions of dollars)   (%)   (basis points)
October 24, 2007 10 June 1, 2018 4.25 2,500 99.489 4.311 2.385 0.7
November 28, 2007 2 June 1, 2010 3.75 3,300 99.840 3.818 2.417 0.6
December 5, 2007 30 December 1, 2041 2* 600 99.020 2.040 3.041 n.a.
January 16, 2008 30 June 1, 2037 5 1,400 116.260 4.048 2.279 0.3

Note: Based on information available as of January 16.
* Real Return Bond
** Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
*** Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue Auction date (2008) Further details of issue (2008) Dated and delivered (2008) Amount maturing*

        (millions of dollars)
10-year February 6 January 31 February 11 0
5-year February 20 February 14 February 25 0
Real Return Bond February 27 February 21 March 3 0

Note: Based on information available as of January 16.
In addition, this quarter four operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Two repurchase operations will be held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and two switch repurchase operations will take place on  March 5 in the 5-year sector and March 19 in the 10-year sector. Further details will be released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for the repurchase this quarter is $1.9 billion.
*Maturity of $579 million on March 1, 2008.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term Maturity Coupon Amount outstanding Yield (Dec. 31, 2007)

    (%) (millions of dollars) (%)
Fixed-coupon        
2-year December 1, 2009 4.25 7,500 3.74
5-year June 1, 2012 3.75 6,824 3.87
10-year June 1, 2017 4.00 10,342 3.99
30-year June 1, 2037 5.00 11,849 4.10
Real return        
30-year December 1, 2036 3 5,850 1.93

Source: Department of Finance.
Average term to maturity of Government of Canada marketable debt

Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


January-March 2008 April-June 2008 July-September 2008 October-December 2008

(millions of dollars)

578 8,234 9,580 7,303



Outstanding Government of Canada Foreign currency debt


  (C$ millions)*

Canada bills 1,906
Canada notes 442
Outstanding under EMTN program 1,485
47⁄8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008** 2,951
51⁄4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008 2,470

* At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of December 31, 2007.
** Original issue in Deutsche Marks was redenominated into euros on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.
Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yield-to-maturity curve Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio Government of Canada treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio

Government securities distributors

  • Bank of Montreal (treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Dundee Securities Corporation
  • Gateway Securities Inc.
  • HSBC Bank Canada (treasury bills only)
  • HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Gevernment of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

3-month bankers acceptance



Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


  Standard & Poor's Moody's Investors Service Dominion Bond Rating Service

  Current Current Current
Domestic debt
- Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable
Foreign debt
- Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable

Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data as of January 1, 2008.
For further information, contact Ian Blachford at 613-992-6386.
For additional copies or subscription inquiries, please contact the Distribution Centre at 613-995-2855.