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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - October 2007

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- Government of Canada Securities 2007

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


 

2006

2007

 

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2


Annualized growth rates

(per cent)

Real gross domestic product

3.8

2.0

1.3

1.5

3.9

3.4

Final domestic demand

5.6

3.7

4.0

3.7

2.8

4.3

Employment growth

1.6

2.9

0.6

2.4

3.9

1.3


Other

           

Unemployment rate

6.4

6.2

6.4

6.2

6.1

6.0

Current account balance

           

 (percentage of GDP)

2.9

1.4

1.6

1.3

1.6

2.2


Source: Statistics Canada.

Government of Canada federal debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance

Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance

Canada's net international liabilities

Upcoming economic data releases of interest


October

November

December


September CPI
(October 19)

October Labour Force Survey
(November 2)

November Labour Force Survey
(December 7)

August GDP
(October 31)

October CPI
(November 20)

November CPI
(December 18)

September GDP
(November 30)

October GDP
(December 21)

National and Economic Accounts
July-September 2007
(November 30)


Consumer Price Index

3-month treasury bill rates

10-year government bond rates

Exchange rate

Overnight money market rate

Canadian monetary aggregates

Primary Market

Outstanding Government of Canada treasury bills, bonds (by term of maturity) and retail debt

Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date

Term

Maturity date

Coupon rate

Issue amount

Average price

Average yield

Auction coverage*

Tail**


 

(years)

  

(%)

(millions of dollars)

 

(%)

 

(basis points)

July 18, 2007

30

June 1, 2037

5

1,400

108.01

4.51

2.55

0.3

August 1, 2007

10

June 1, 2017

4

2,600

95.96

4.51

2.36

0.5

August 15, 2007

5

June 1, 2012

3.75

2,000

97.30

4.38

2.43

0.4

September 19, 2007

2

December 1, 2009

4.25

3,600

100.10

4.21

2.46

0.4


* Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
** Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue

Auction
date
(2007)

Further
details
 of issue
(2007)

Dated and
delivered
(2007)

Amount
maturing*


(millions of dollars)

10-year

October 24

October 18

October 29

0

2-year

November 28

November 22

November 30

0

Real Return Bond

December 5

November 29

December 10

0


In addition, this quarter five operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Two repurchase operations are being held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and three switch repurchase operations are taking place on October 3 in the 30-year sector, October 10 in the 2-year sector and November 7 in the 5-year sector. Further details are released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for the repurchase this quarter is $1.7 billion.
* Maturity of $418 million on October 1, 2007, and maturity of $6.4 billion on December 1, 2007.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term

Maturity

Coupon

Amount outstanding

Yield (Sept. 28, 2007)


(%)

(millions of dollars)

(%)

Fixed-coupon

       

2-year

December 1, 2010

4.25

7,100

4.08

5-year

June 1, 2012

3.75

6,600

4.20

10-year

June 1, 2017

4.00

10,300

4.34

30-year

June 1, 2037

5.00

11,549

4.44

Real return

       

30-year

December 1, 2036

3

5,850

2.08


Source: Department of Finance.

Average term to maturity of Government of Canada marketable debt

Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


October-December
2007

January-March
2008

April-June
2008

July-September
2008


(millions of dollars)

6,794

578

10,296

10,130


Outstanding Government of Canada foreign currency debt


 

(C$ millions)*


Canada bills

2,034

Canada notes

437

Outstanding under EMTN program

1,508

65⁄8% NZ$ bonds maturing October 3, 2007

380

47⁄8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008**

2,934

51⁄4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008

2,514


* At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of September 28, 2007.
** Original issue in Deutsche Marks was redenominated into euros on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yeild-to-maturity curve

Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bills randing volume and turnover ratio

Government securities distributors
  • Bank of Montreal (treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Dundee Securities Corporation
  • Gateway Securities Inc.
  • HSBC Bank Canada (treasury bills only)
  • HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • J.P. Morgan Securities Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Government of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

3-month bandkers acceptance futures

Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


Standard & Poor's

Moody's Investors Service

Dominion Bond Rating Service


Current

Current

Current

Domestic debt


- Trend

AAA
Stable

Aaa
Stable

AAA
Stable

Foreign debt


- Trend

AAA
Stable

Aaa
Stable

AAA
Stable


Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data available as of October 1, 2007.
For further information, contact Ian Blachford at 613-992-6386.
For additional copies or subscription inquiries, please contact the Distribution Centre at 613-995-2855.