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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - July 2007

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- Government of Canada Securities 2007

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


2006 2007


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Annualized growth rates (per cent)
Real gross domestic product 3.8 2.0 1.3 1.5 3.7
Final domestic demand 5.6 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.2
Employment growth 1.6 2.9 0.6 2.4 3.9
Other
Unemployment rate 6.4 6.2 6.4 6.2 6.1
Current account balance (percentage of GDP) 2.9 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.7

Source: Statistics Canada.

Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance

Government of Canadas federal debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance

Canada's net international liabilities



Upcoming economic data releases of interest


July August September

June CPI
(July 18)
July Labour Force Survey
(August 10)
August Labour Force Survey
(September 7)
May GDP
(July 31)
July CPI
(August 21)
August CPI
(September 19)
July GDP
(August 31)
July GDP
(September 28)
National and Economic Accounts
April-June 2007
(August 31)

Consumer Price Index

10-year government bond rates

Overnight money market rate

3-month treasury bill rates

Exchange rate

Canadian monetary aggregates

Primary Market

Outstanding Government of Canada treasury bills, bonds (by term to maturity) and retail debt

Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date Term Maturity date Coupon rate Issue amount Average price Average yield Auction coverage** Tail***

(years) (%) (millions of dollars) (%) (basis points)
April 18, 2007 10 June 1, 2017 4 2,600 98.456 4.192 2.43 0.3
May 2, 2007 5 June 1, 2012 3.75 2,000 98.173 4.153 2.34 0.3
May 23, 2007 2 December 1, 2009 4.25 3,500 99.553 4.440 2.43 0.4
May 30, 2007 30 December 1, 2041 2* 650 99.752 2.010 2.80 n.a.

* Real Return Bond.
** Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
*** Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue Auction
date
(2007)
Further details
of issue
(2007)
Dated and
delivered
(2007)
Amount
maturing*

(millions of dollars)
30-year July 18 July 12 July 23 0
10-year August 1 July 26 August 7 0
5-year August 15 August 9 August 20 0
Real Return Bond August 29 August 23 September 4 0
5-year September 19 September 13 September 21 0

Note: In addition this quarter, five operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Four repurchase operations are being held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and one switch repurchase operation is taking place on September 12 in the 10-year sector. Further details are released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for the repurchase this quarter is $1.7 billion.
* Maturity of $7.5 billion on September 1, 2007.
Source: Bank of Canada.


Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term Maturity Coupon Amount outstanding Yield (June 29, 2007)

(%) (millions of dollars) (%)
Fixed-coupon
2-year June 1, 2009 3.75 3,500 4.58
5-year September 1, 2011 3.75 9,328 4.55
10-year June 1, 2016 4.00 10,300 4.55
30-year June 1, 2033 5.75 13,410 4.48
Real return
30-year December 1, 2036 3 5,850 2.11

Source: Department of Finance.

Average term to maturity of Government of Canada marketable debt



Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


July-September 2007 October-December 2007 January-March 2008 April-June 2008

(millions of dollars)
7,517 7,219 578 11,046



Outstanding Government of Canada foreign currency debt


(C$ millions)*

Canada bills 1,663
Canada notes 438
Outstanding under EMTN program 1,510
65⁄8% NZ$ bonds maturing October 3, 2007 412
47⁄8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008** 2,949
51⁄4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008 2,664

* At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of June 29, 2007.
** Original issue in Deutsche marks was redenominated into euros on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yield-to-maturity curve

Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio

Government securities distributors

  • Bank of Montreal (treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Dundee Securities Corporation
  • Gateway Securities Inc.
  • HSBC Bank Canada (treasury bills only)
  • HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • J.P. Morgan Securities Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Government of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

Government of Canada treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio

3-month bankers acceptance futures



Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


Standard & Poor's Current Moody's Investors Service Current Dominion Bond Rating Service Current

Domestic debt
- Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable
Foreign debt
- Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable

Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data available as of July 3, 2007.
For further information, contact Ian Blachford at 613-992-6386.
For additional copies or subscription inquiries, please contact the Distribution Centre at 613-995-2855.