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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - January 2007

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- Government of Canada Securities 2007

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


2005 2006


Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Annualized growth rates (per cent)
Real gross domestic product 3.4   3.5   2.6   3.8    2.0    1.7
Final domestic demand 3.9 4.1 4.7 5.6 3.6 2.8
Employment growth 1.7 1.5 2.4 1.6 3.1 0.4

Other
Unemployment rate 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.4
Current account balance (percentage of GDP) 1.4 2.7 3.8 2.9 1.3 1.4

Source: Statistics Canada.

Government of Canada federal debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance

Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance

Canada's net international liabilities

Upcoming economic data releases of interest


January February March

December CPI
(January 23)
January Labour Force Survey
(February 9)
December GDP
(March 2)
November GDP
(January 31)
January CPI
(February 20)
National and Economic Accounts
October-December 2006
(March 2)

February Labour Force Survey
(March 9)

February CPI
(March 20)

January GDP
(March 30)


Consumer Price Index

3-month treasury bill rates

1-year government bond rates

Exchange rate

Overnight money market rate

Canadian monetary aggregates

Primary Market

Outstanding Government of Canada treasury bills, bonds (by term to maturity) and retail debt

Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date Term Maturity date Coupon rate Issue amount Average price Average yield Auction coverage** Tail***

(years) (%) (millions of dollars) (%) (basis points)
November 29, 2006 30 December 1, 2036 3* 450 132.116 1.640 2.368 n.a.
November 15, 2006 2 June 1, 2009 3.75 2,400 99.535 3.945 2.46 0.1
November 1, 2006 5 June 1, 2012 3.75 2,000 99.208 3.910 2.627 0.2
October 11, 2006 10 June 1, 2017 4 2,300 98.734 4.149 2.447 0.2

* Real Return Bond.
** Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
*** Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue Auction date (2007) Further details of issue (2007) Dated and delivered (2007) Amount maturing*

(millions of dollars)
30-year January 10 January 4 January 15 0
10-year January 24 January 18 January 29 0
Real Return Bond February 28 February 22 March 5 0

Note: In addition, this quarter five operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Two repurchase operations will be held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and three switch repurchase operations will take place: one on February 14 in the 5-year sector, one on March 7 in the 2-year sector, and one on March 14 in the 10-year sector. Further details will be released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for the repurchase this quarter is $1.4 billion.
* Maturity of $193 million on March 1, 2007.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term Maturity Coupon Amount outstanding Yield (Dec. 29, 2006)
(%) (millions of dollars) (%)

Fixed-coupon
2-year December 1, 2008 4.25 7,300 4.02
5-year September 1, 2011 3.75 9,328 3.99
10-year June 1, 2016 4.00 10,300 4.08
30-year June 1, 2033 5.75 13,410 4.13
Real return
30-year December 1, 2036 3 5,450 1.77

Source: Department of Finance.

Average term to maturity of Government of Canada marketable debt

Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


January-March 2007 April-June 2007 July-September 2007 October-December 2007

(millions of dollars)
193 11,282 9,725 7,425

Outstanding Government of Canada foreign currency debt


(C$ millions)*

Canada bills 1,999
Canada notes 493
Outstanding under EMTN program 1,629
6 5⁄8% NZ$ bonds maturing October 3, 2007 399
4 7⁄8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008** 3,146
5 1⁄4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008 2,914

* At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of December 29, 2006.
** Original issue in Deutsche Marks was redenominated into euros on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yield-to-maturity curve

Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio

  • Government securities distributors
  • Bank of Montreal (treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Golden Capital Securities Limited
  • HSBC Bank Canada (treasury bills only)
  • HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • J.P. Morgan Securities Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Government of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

3-month bankers acceptance futures

Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


  Standard & Poor's Moody's Investors Service Dominion Bond Rating Service

  Current Current Current
Domestic debt
  - Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable
Foreign debt
  - Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable

Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data available as of January 2, 2007.
For further information, contact Ian Blachford at 613-992-6386.
For additional copies or subscription inquiries, please contact the Distribution Centre at 613-995-2855.