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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - October 2006

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- Government of Canada Securities 2006

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


2005 2006


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Annualized growth rates (per cent)
Real gross domestic product 2.1 3.4 3.5 2.6 3.6 2.0
Final domestic demand 5.7 3.9 4.1 4.7 5.0 4.0
Employment growth 0.6 1.7 1.5 2.4 1.6 3.1
Other
Unemployment rate 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.5
Current account balance
 (percentage of GDP) 1.0 1.4 2.7 3.8 2.3 1.2

Source: Statistics Canada.

Government of Canada federal debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance

Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance

Canada's net interanational liablilities

Upcoming economic data releases of interest


November December January

October Labour Force Survey
(November 3)
November Labour Force Survey
(December 1)
December CPI
(January 23)
October CPI
(November 22)
November CPI
(December 19)
November GDP
(January 31)
September GDP
(November 30)
October GDP
(December 21)
National and Economic Accounts
July-September 2006
(November 30)

Consumer Price Index

3-month treasury bill rates

10-year government bond rates

Exchange rate

Overnight money market rate

Canadian money aggregates

Primary Market 

Outstanding Government of Canada treasury bills, bonds (by term to maturity) and retail debt

Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date Term Maturity date Coupon rate Issue amount Average price Average yield Auction coverage** Tail***

(years) (%) (millions of dollars) (%) (basis points)
September 27, 2006 30 December 1, 2036 3* 300 130.911 1.688 3.298 n.a.
August 30, 2006 2 December 1, 2008 4.25 3,400 100.471 4.027 5.208 0.2
August 16, 2006 5 September 1, 2011 3.75 2,100 98.062 4.181 2.681 0.2
August 2, 2006 10 June 1, 2016 4 2,300 97.254 4.346 2.549 0.3
July 19, 2006 30 June 1, 2037 5 1,300 108.361 4.496 2.644 0.2

* Real Return Bond.
**Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
***Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield. 
Source: Bank of Canada.

 

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue Auction date (2006) Further details of issue (2006) Dated and delivered (2006) Amount maturing*

(millions of dollars)
10-year October 11 October 5 October 16 0
5-year November 1 October 26 November 6 0
2-year November 15 November 9 November 17 0
Real Return Bond November 29 November 23 December 4 0

Note: In addition, this quarter seven operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Three repurchase operations will be held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and four switch repurchase operations will take place: one on October 26 in the 30-year sector, one on November 22 in the 10-year sector, one on December 6 in the 5-year sector and one on December 14 in the 2-year sector. Further details will be released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for the repurchase this quarter is $2.2 billion.
*Maturity of $8.9 billion on December 1, 2006.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term Maturity Coupon Amount outstanding Yield (Sept. 29, 2006)

(%) (millions of dollars) (%)
Fixed-coupon
2-year June 1, 2008 3.75 3,000 3.90
5-year September 1, 2010 4.00 9,459 3.90
10-year June 1, 2015 4.50 10,300 4.00
30-year June 1, 2033 5.75 13,410 4.08
Real return
30-year December 1, 2036 3 5,000 1.67

Source: Department of Finance.

Average term to maturity of Government marketable debt

Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


October-December 2006 January-March 2007 April-June 2007 July-September 2007

(millions of dollars)
8,926 193 11,782 9,725

Outstanding Government of Canada foreign currency debt


(C$ millions)*

Canada bills 1,968
Canada notes 473
Outstanding under EMTN program 1,501
65/8% NZ$ bonds maturing October 3, 2007 365
47/8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008** 2,898
51/4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008 2,794

*At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of September 29, 2006.
**Original issue in Deutsche Marks was redenominated into euros on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yield-to-maturity curve

Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio

Government securities distributors

  • Bank of Montreal (treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Golden Capital Securities Limited
  • HSBC Bank Canada (treasury bills only)
  • HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • J.P. Morgan Securities Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Government of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada treasury bill trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

3-month bankers acceptance futures

Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


Standard & Poor's Moody's Investors Service Dominion Bond Rating Service

Current Current Current
Domestic debt
- Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable
Foreign debt
- Trend
AAA
Stable
Aaa
Stable
AAA
Stable

Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data available as of June 30, 2006.

For further information, contact Ian Blachford at 613-992-6386.

For additional copies or subscription inquiries, please contact the Distribution Centre at 613-995-2855.