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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - April 2005

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- Government of Canada Securities 2005

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


2003

2004



Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Annualized growth rates

(per cent)

Real gross domestic product

3.3

2.7

3.9

2.9

1.7

Final domestic demand

2.3

5.2

2.4

3.5

4.4

Employment growth

3.6

1.1

2.0

1.3

1.7


Other

Unemployment rate

7.5

7.4

7.2

7.1

7.1

Current account balance

 

(percentage of GDP)

2.2

2.6

3.4

2.6

1.9


Source: Statistics Canada.

Government of Canada debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance

Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance

Canada's net international liabilities

Upcoming economic data releases of interest


April May June

March CPI
(April 22)

February GDP
(April 29)

April Labour Force Survey
(May 6)

April CPI
(May 20)

March GDP
(May 31)

National Economic and Financial Accounts
January-March 2005
(May 31)

May Labour Force Survey
(June 10)

May CPI
(June 24)

April GDP
(June 30)


Consumer price index

3-month Treasury bill rates

10-year government bond rates

Exchange rate

Overnight money market rate

Canadian monetary aggregates

Primary Market

Outstanding Government of Canada Treasury bills, bonds (by term maturity) and retail debt

Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date

Term

Maturity date

Coupon rate

Issue amount

Average price

Average yield

Auction coverage*

Tail**


(years)

(%)

(millions of dollars)

(%)

(basis points)

March 16, 2005

2

June 1, 2007

3

2,500

99.480

3.245

2.341

0.3

March 2, 2005

30

December 12, 2036

3***

300

118.278

2.197

3.025

n.a.

February 16, 2005

5

September 1, 2009

4

2,000

101.147

3.768

2.319

0.5

February 2, 2005

10

June 1, 2015

4.5

2,100

101.405

4.329

2.212

0.3

January 12, 2005

30

June 1, 2037

5

1,400

102.896

4.822

2.215

0.7


* Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
** Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield.
*** Real return bond.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue

Auction date (2005)

Further details of issue
(2005)

Dated and delivered
(2005)

Amount maturing*


(millions of dollars)

10-year auction

May 4

April 28

May 9

0

5-year auction

May 18

May 12

May 24

0

30-year RRB auction

June 1

May 26

June 6

0

2-year auction

June 8

June 2

June 10

0


In addition, this quarter six operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Three repurchase operations are being held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and three switch repurchase operations are taking place: one on April 6 in the 30-year sector, one on April 21 in the 5-year sector and one on June 16 in the 10-year sector. Further details are released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for repurchase this quarter is $2.6 billion.

*Maturity of $6.5 billion on June 1, 2005.
Source: Bank of Canada.


Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term

Maturity

Coupon

Amount
 outstanding

Yield
(Mar. 31,
 2005)


(%)

(millions of dollars)

(%)

Fixed-coupon

2-year

June 1, 2007

3.00

5,600

3.28

5-year

Sept. 1, 2009

4.25

10,100

3.76

10-year

June 1, 2014

5.00

10,867

4.34

30-year

June 1, 2033

5.75

13,410

4.73

Real return

30-year

Dec. 1, 2026

4.25

5,250

2.02


Source: Department of Finance.

Average term to maturity of Government of Canada marketable debt

Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


April-June 2005

July-September 2005

October-December 2005

January-March 2006


(millions of dollars)

6,480

9,331

9,562

267


Outstanding Government of Canada foreign currency debt


(C$ millions)*


Canada bills

1,711

Canada notes

1,173

Outstanding under EMTN program

1,724

63⁄8% US$ bonds maturing July 21, 2005

1,803

63⁄4% US$ bonds maturing August 28, 2006

1,202

65⁄8% NZ$ bonds maturing October 3, 2007

432

47⁄8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008**

3,331

51⁄4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008

3,005


* At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of December 31, 2004.
** Original issue of Deutsche Marks was redenominated into euros on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yield-to-maturity curve

Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada Treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio

Government securities distributors

  • Bank of Montreal (Treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (Treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Golden Capital Securities Limited
  • HSBC Bank Canada
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • J.P. Morgan Securities Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • Société Générale Valeurs Mobilières Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Government of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada Treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

3-month bankers acceptance futures

Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


Standard & Poor's
Current

Moody's Investors Service
Current

Dominion Bond 
Rating Service
Current


Domestic debt

AAA

Aaa

AAA

- Trend

Stable

Stable

Stable

Foreign debt

AAA

Aaa

AAA

- Trend

Stable

Stable

Stable


Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data available as of March 31, 2005.
For further information, contact Ian Blachford at (613) 992-6386.
For additional copies or subscription inquiries, please contact the Distribution Centre at (613) 995-2855.