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Archived - Government of Canada Securities - January 2005

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- Government of Canada Securities 2005

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- Canadian Economy | Primary Market | Secondary Market


Canadian Economy

Selected Canadian economic statistics


2003

2004



Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3


Annualized growth rates

(per cent)

Real gross domestic product

1.4

3.3

2.7

3.9

3.2

Final domestic demand

5.2

2.3

5.2

2.1

3.3

Employment growth

0.8

3.6

1.1

2.0

1.3


Other

Unemployment rate

7.9

7.5

7.4

7.2

7.1

Current account balance
(percentage of GDP)

2.2

2.2

2.6

3.5

2.9


Source:  Statistics Canada.

Government of Canada debt (accumulated deficit) and budgetary balance

Canada's current account balance and merchandise trade balance

Canada's net international liabilities

Upcoming economic data releases of interest


January February March

December CPI
(January 19)

November GDP
(January 31)

January Labour Force Survey
(February 4)

January CPI
(February 22)

December GDP
(February 28)

National Economic and Financial Accounts
October-December 2004
(February 28)

February Labour Force Survey
(March 11)

February CPI
(March 23)

January GDP
(March 31)


Consumer price index

3-month Treasury bill rates

10-year government bond rates

Exchange rate

Overnight money market rate

Canadian monetary aggregates

Primary Market

Outstanding Government of Canada Treasury bills, bonds (by term maturity) and retail debt

Recent Government of Canada bond auction results


Auction date

Term

Maturity date

Coupon rate

Issue amount

Average price

Average yield

Auction coverage*

Tail**


(years)

(%)

(millions of dollars)

(%)

basis points)

December 8, 2004

2

June 1, 2007

3

2,800

99.944

3.024

2.325

0.4

November 17, 2004

5

September 1, 2010

4

2,100

99.729

4.054

2.258

0.5

October 13, 2004

10

June 1, 2015

4.5

2,100

98.627

4.666

2.267

0.3

September 15, 2004

2

December 1, 2006

3.25

2,800

99.866

3.312

2.416

0.3

September 1, 2004

30

December 1, 2036

3***

300

115.125

2.330

2.205

n.a.


* Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned.
**Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield.
***Real return bond.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond auctions


Type of issue

Auction date
(2005)

Further details of issue
(2005)

Dated and delivered
(2005)

Amount maturing*


(millions of 
dollars)

30-year auction

January 12

January 6

January 17

0

10-year auction

February 2

January 27

February 7

0

5-year auction

February 16

February 10

February 21

0

30-year RRB auction

March 2

February 24

March 7

0

2-year auction

March 16

March 10

March 18

0


In addition, this quarter seven operations are planned under the Government of Canada bond repurchase program. Four repurchase operations are being held in conjunction with each nominal bond auction, and three switch repurchase operations are taking place: one on January 13 in the 5-year sector, one on February 9 in the 2-year sector and one on March 9 in the 10-year sector. Further details are released on the Thursday prior to these operations. The target amount for repurchase this quarter is $2.8 billion.

*Maturity of $496 million on March 1, 2005.

Source: Bank of Canada.

Government of Canada bond market benchmarks


Term

Maturity

Coupon

Amount
outstanding
Yield
(Jan. 5, 2005)

(%)

(millions of 
dollars)

(%)

Fixed-coupon

2-year

Dec. 1, 2006

3.25

6,000

3.03

5-year

Sept. 1, 2009

4.25

10,100

3.68

10-year

June 1, 2014

5.00

10,867

4.31

30-year

June 1, 2029

5.75

13,850

4.84

Real return

30-year

Dec. 1, 2026

4.25

5,250

2.00

Source: Department of Finance.

Average term to maturity of Government of Canada marketable debt

Upcoming Government of Canada marketable bond maturities


January-March 2005

April-June 2005

July-September 2005

October-December 2005


(millions of dollars)

496

6,526

10,076

10,889


Outstanding Government of Canada foreign currency debt


(C$ millions)*


Canada bills

1,867

Canada notes

1,168

Outstanding under EMTN program

1,801

63⁄8% US$ bonds maturing July 21, 2005

1,803

63⁄4% US$ bonds maturing August 28, 2006

1,202

65⁄8% NZ$ bonds maturing October 3, 2007

432

47⁄8% EUR bonds maturing July 7, 2008**

3,331

51⁄4% US$ bonds maturing November 5, 2008

3,005


* At par value, adjusted for exchange rates as of December 31, 2004.
**Original issue of Deutsche Marks was redenominated into euro on February 19, 1999.
Source: Bank of Canada.

Canada's level of liquid foreign reserves

Secondary Market

Canadian yield-to-maturity curve

Government of Canada bonds trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada Treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio

Government securities distributors

  • Bank of Montreal (Treasury bills only)
  • Beacon Securities Limited
  • BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • Canaccord Capital Corp.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (Treasury bills only)
  • Casgrain & Company Limited
  • CIBC World Markets Inc. (marketable bonds only)
  • CTI Capital Inc.
  • Desjardins Securities
  • Deutsche Bank Securities Limited
  • Golden Capital Securities Limited
  • HSBC Bank Canada
  • Laurentian Bank Securities Inc.
  • Merrill Lynch Canada Inc.
  • J.P. Morgan Securities Canada Inc.
  • National Bank Financial Inc.
  • Ocean Securities Inc.
  • Odlum Brown Limited
  • RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
  • Scotia Capital Inc.
  • Société Générale Valeurs Mobilières Inc.
  • The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Government of Canada bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio

Government of Canada Treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio

10-year Government of Canada bond futures

3-month bankers acceptance futures

Government of Canada long-term credit ratings


Standard & Poor's

Moody's Investors Service

Dominion Bond Rating Service


Current

Current

Current

Domestic debt

AAA

Aaa

AAA

- Trend

Stable

Stable

Stable

Foreign debt

AAA

Aaa

AAA

- Trend

Stable

Stable

Stable


Except as noted, the information in Government of Canada Securities is based upon data available as of January 5, 2005.
For further information, contact Ian Blachford at (613) 992-6386.