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June 2010: budgetary deficit of $2.8 billion

There was a budgetary deficit of $2.8 billion in June 2010, compared to a deficit of $5.0 billion in June 2009.

Revenues decreased by $0.5 billion, or 2.5 per cent, reflecting lower personal and corporate income tax revenues and other revenues, partially offset by higher Goods and Services Tax (GST) revenues. Program expenses were down $2.7 billion, or 12.9 per cent, reflecting lower transfer payments. Public debt charges increased by $36 million.

April to June 2010: budgetary deficit of $7.2 billion

For the first three months of the 2010–11 fiscal year, the budgetary deficit stood at $7.2 billion, compared to a deficit of $12.5 billion reported in the same period of 2009–10. Over $3 billion of the $7.2-billion deficit was attributable to actions taken under Canada’s Economic Action Plan, including tax reductions, enhanced Employment Insurance (EI) benefits, and infrastructure funding. Revenues were up $1.9 billion, or 3.7 per cent, mainly reflecting increases in GST revenues and, to a lesser extent, personal income tax revenues. Program expenses were down $3.2 billion, or 5.5 per cent, largely reflecting support provided to the automotive industry in 2009–10. Public debt charges were down $0.1 billion, reflecting a lower average effective interest rate on the stock of interest-bearing debt.

On balance, the deficit of $7.2 billion through the first three months of the 2010–11 fiscal year is broadly consistent with the projected deficit of $49.2 billion for 2010–11 set out in Budget 2010.

Since Budget 2010, the outlook for nominal gross domestic product, the broadest single measure of the tax base, has been revised up based on the June survey of private sector economic forecasters. However, there remains considerable uncertainty with respect to the strength of the global economic recovery. Overall, three months of fiscal information is not sufficient to draw any firm conclusions about the outlook for the year as a whole. A comprehensive update of the fiscal outlook for this year and beyond will be provided in the fall.

June 2010

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There was a budgetary deficit of $2.8 billion in June 2010, compared to a $5.0-billion deficit in June 2009.

Revenues decreased by $0.5 billion, or 2.5 per cent, to $17.8 billion.

  • Personal income tax revenues decreased by $0.3 billion, or 3.4 per cent.
  • Corporate income tax revenues were down $0.1 billion, or 5.1 per cent, reflecting a decrease of roughly 13 per cent in receipts, partially offset by a decline of about 25 per cent in refunds.
  • Non-resident income tax revenues were down $9 million, or 3.0 per cent.
  • Excise taxes and duties were up $0.2 billion, or 7.8 per cent, driven by higher GST revenues. GST revenues were up $0.3 billion, or 13.1 per cent. Energy taxes were down $21 million, customs import duties were up $7 million, and other excise taxes and duties were up $6 million.
  • EI premium revenues were up $11 million, or 0.7 per cent.
  • Other revenues, consisting of net profits from enterprise Crown corporations, revenues of consolidated Crown corporations, proceeds from the sale of goods and services, returns on investments, net foreign exchange revenues and miscellaneous revenues, were down $0.3 billion, or 14.9 per cent.

Program expenses in June 2010 were $18.0 billion, down $2.7 billion, or 12.9 per cent, from June 2009, reflecting lower transfer payments.

Transfer payments decreased by $2.7 billion, or 18.7 per cent.

  • Major transfers to persons, consisting of elderly, EI and children’s benefits, decreased by $0.1 billion, or 1.9 per cent. Elderly benefits increased by $0.1 billion, or 2.0 per cent. EI benefit payments decreased by $0.2 billion, or 13.5 per cent, reflecting a decrease in regular benefits. Children’s benefits, which consist of the Canada Child Tax Benefit and the Universal Child Care Benefit, increased by $0.1 billion, or 5.2 per cent.
  • Major transfers to other levels of government, consisting of federal transfers in support of health and other social programs (Canada Health Transfer and Canada Social Transfer), fiscal transfers, transfers to provinces on behalf of Canada’s cities and communities, and Alternative Payments for Standing Programs, increased by $41 million.
  • Other transfer payments were down $2.7 billion, largely reflecting assistance provided to the automotive industry in 2009–10.

Other program expenses consist of operating expenses of Crown corporations, departments and agencies, including National Defence, and also reflect the ongoing assessment of the Government’s liabilities. These expenses increased by $0.1 billion, or 1.0 per cent, over the previous year.

Public debt charges increased by $36 million, or 1.4 per cent.

April to June 2010

For the first three months of the 2010–11 fiscal year, there was a budgetary deficit of $7.2 billion, compared to a deficit of $12.5 billion reported during the same period of 2009–10. Over $3 billion of the $7.2-billion deficit was attributable to actions taken under Canada’s Economic Action Plan.

Revenues increased by $1.9 billion, or 3.7 per cent, to $54.7 billion.

  • Personal income tax revenues were up $0.4 billion, or 1.6 per cent.
  • Corporate income tax revenues were down $0.7 billion, or 10.5 per cent, reflecting a decline of about 11 per cent in receipts, partially offset by a decrease of roughly 13 per cent in refunds.
  • Non-resident income tax revenues were down $0.3 billion, or 21.5 per cent.
  • Excise taxes and duties were up $2.4 billion, or 31.6 per cent, primarily due to a $2.2-billion, or 53.3-per-cent, increase in GST revenues. Energy taxes were up $16 million while other excise taxes and duties were up $0.1 billion. Customs import duties were down $8 million.
  • EI premium revenues were up $55 million. The premium rate was kept stable at $1.73 per $100 of insurable earnings for 2009 and 2010.
  • Other revenues were up $0.1 billion, or 1.5 per cent.

Program expenses for April to June 2010 were $54.4 billion, down $3.2 billion, or 5.5 per cent, from the same period the previous year, reflecting lower transfer payments.

Transfer payments for April to June 2010 were down $3.5 billion, or 8.6 per cent, from the same period the previous year.

  • Major transfers to persons were up $22 million, or 0.1 per cent. Elderly benefits increased by $0.2 billion, or 2.4 per cent, in line with growth in the elderly population. EI benefit payments decreased by $0.3 billion, or 6.4 per cent, reflecting a decrease in regular benefits. Children’s benefits were up $0.2 billion, reflecting in part enhancements to the National Child Benefit Supplement and the Canada Child Tax Benefit introduced as part of Canada’s Economic Action Plan.
  • Major transfers to other levels of government were up $6 million, as increases due to legislated growth in transfers were largely offset by a decrease in transfers to Canada’s cities and communities. The timing of transfers to Canada’s cities and communities varies from year to year.
  • Other transfer payments were down $3.6 billion, primarily reflecting assistance provided to the automotive industry in 2009–10.

Other program expenses increased by $0.3 billion, or 2.0 per cent, from the previous year’s level.

Public debt charges decreased by $0.1 billion, or 1.8 per cent, reflecting a lower average effective interest rate on the stock of interest-bearing debt.

Revenues and expenses (Avril to June 2010)

Financial requirement of $22.8 billion for April to June 2010

The budgetary balance is presented on an accrual basis of accounting, recording government assets and liabilities when they are receivable or incurred, regardless of when the cash is received or paid. In contrast, the financial source/requirement measures the difference between cash coming in to the Government and cash going out. This measure is affected not only by changes in the budgetary balance but also by the cash source/requirement resulting from the Government’s investing activities through its acquisition of capital assets and its loans, financial investments and advances, as well as from other activities, including payment of accounts payable and collection of accounts receivable, foreign exchange activities, and the amortization of its tangible capital assets. The difference between the budgetary balance and financial source/requirement is recorded in non-budgetary transactions.

With a budgetary deficit of $7.2 billion and a requirement of $15.6 billion from non-budgetary transactions, there was a financial requirement of $22.8 billion in the April to June period of 2010–11, compared to a financial requirement of $33.0 billion in the same period of 2009–10. The decrease in the financial requirement in 2010–11 reflects the improvement in the budgetary balance as well as assistance provided to the automotive industry in 2009–10.

Net financing activities up $3.8 billion

The Government financed this financial requirement of $22.8 billion by increasing market debt by $3.8 billion and reducing cash balances by $19.0 billion. The increase in market debt was achieved primarily through the issuance of marketable bonds. The level of cash balances varies from month to month based on a number of factors including periodic large debt maturities, which can be quite volatile on a monthly basis. Cash balances at the end of June 2010 stood at $6.6 billion, down $13.4 billion from their level at the end of June 2009.

Table 1
Summary statement of transactions
   June April to June
 

   2009 2010 2009–10 2010–11
   ($ millions)
Budgetary transactions        
  Revenues 18,222 17,761 52,763 54,709
  Expenses        
    Program expenses -20,659 -17,984 -57,576 -54,384
    Public debt charges -2,542 -2,578 -7,696 -7,555
 

  Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) -4,979 -2,801 -12,509 -7,230
Non-budgetary transactions -14,885 -6,584 -20,447 -15,563
Financial source/requirement -19,864 -9,385 -32,956 -22,793
Net change in financing activities 16,221 -7,373 7,876 3,756
Net change in cash balances -3,643 -16,758 -25,080 -19,037
Cash balance at end of period     19,951 6,585
Note: Positive numbers indicate net source of funds. Negative numbers indicate net requirement for funds.

 

Table 2
Revenues
  June   April to June
 
 
  2009 2010 Change 2009–10 2010–11 Change
Tax revenues ($ millions) (%) ($ millions) (%)
  Income taxes            
    Personal income tax 8,906 8,600 -3.4 26,497 26,925 1.6
    Corporate income tax 2,440 2,315 -5.1 6,803 6,090 -10.5
    Non-resident income tax 296 287 -3.0 1,305 1,025 -21.5
 

    Total income tax 11,642 11,202 -3.8 34,605 34,040 -1.6
  Excise taxes and duties
    Goods and Services Tax 1,925 2,178 13.1 4,213 6,459 53.3
    Energy taxes 445 424 -4.7 1,205 1,221 1.3
    Customs import duties 315 322 2.2 833 825 -1.0
    Other excise taxes and duties 455 461 1.3 1,247 1,364 9.4
 

    Total excise taxes and duties 3,140 3,385 7.8 7,498 9,869 31.6
 

  Total tax revenues 14,782 14,587 -1.3 42,103 43,909 4.3
Employment Insurance premiums 1,582 1,593 0.7 5,082 5,137 1.1
Other revenues 1,858 1,581 -14.9 5,578 5,663 1.5
Total revenues 18,222 17,761 -2.5 52,763 54,709 3.7
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

 

Table 3
Expenses
  June   April to June  
 
 
 
  2009 2010 Change 2009–10 2010–11 Change
  ($ millions) (%) ($ millions) (%)
Transfer payments            
  Major transfers to persons            
    Elderly benefits 2,888 2,945 2.0 8,588 8,790 2.4
    Employment Insurance benefits 1,596 1,381 -13.5 5,331 4,991 -6.4
    Children's benefits 1,004 1,056 5.2 3,052 3,212 5.2
 

    Total 5,488 5,382 -1.9 16,971 16,993 0.1
  Major transfers to other levels of government            
    Support for health and other social programs            
      Canada Health Transfer 2,040 2,158 5.8 6,119 6,473 5.8
      Canada Social Transfer 905 932 3.0 2,715 2,795 2.9
 

      Total 2,945 3,090 4.9 8,834 9,268 4.9
    Fiscal transfers 1,320 1,237 -6.3 4,497 4,465 -0.7
    Canada's cities and communities 0 0 n/a 957 626 -34.6
    Alternative Payments for Standing Programs -224 -245 9.4 -672 -737 9.7
 

    Total 4,041 4,082 1.0 13,616 13,622 0.0
  Other transfer payments            
    Agriculture and Agri-Food 103 87 -15.5 274 228 -16.8
    Foreign Affairs and International Trade 132 186 40.9 720 719 -0.1
    Health 266 143 -46.2 696 592 -14.9
    Human Resources and Skills Development 509 368 -27.7 738 781 5.8
    Indian Affairs and Northern Development 492 371 -24.6 1,485 1,455 -2.0
    Industry 199 103 -48.2 390 353 -9.5
    Other 3,382 1,152 -65.9 6,090 2,711 -55.5
 

    Total 5,083 2,410 -52.6 10,393 6,839 -34.2
 

  Total transfer payments 14,612 11,874 -18.7 40,980 37,454 -8.6
Other program expenses            
  Crown corporations 653 740 13.3 2,067 2,192 6.0
  Defence 1,555 1,491 -4.1 4,264 4,143 -2.8
  All other departments and agencies 3,839 3,879 1.0 10,265 10,595 3.2
 

  Total other program expenses 6,047 6,110 1.0 16,596 16,930 2.0
Total program expenses 20,659 17,984 -12.9 57,576 54,384 -5.5
Public debt charges 2,542 2,578 1.4 7,696 7,555 -1.8
Total expenses 23,201 20,562 -11.4 65,272 61,939 -5.1
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
Table 4
The budgetary balance and financial source/requirement
  June April to June
 

  2009 2010 2009–10 2010–11
  ($ millions)
Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) -4,979 -2,801 -12,509 -7,230
Non-budgetary transactions        
  Capital investing activities -397 -613 -219 -899
  Other investing activities -4,913 314 -8,462 535
  Pension and other accounts 916 446 1,750 1,501
  Other activities        
    Accounts payable, receivables, accruals and allowances -5,191 -6,925 -13,888 -17,404
    Foreign exchange activities -5,604 -133 -538 -274
    Amortization of tangible capital assets 304 327 910 978
 

    Total other activities -10,491 -6,731 -13,516 -16,700
  Total non-budgetary transactions -14,885 -6,584 -20,447 -15,563
Net financial source/requirement -19,864 -9,385 -32,956 -22,793
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
Table 5
Financial source/requirement and net financing activities
  June April to June
 

  2009 2010 2009–10 2010–11
  ($ millions)
Financial source/requirement -19,864 -9,385 -32,956 -22,793
Net increase (+)/decrease (-) in financing activities        
  Unmatured debt transactions        
    Canadian currency borrowings        
      Marketable bonds 2,200 -338 11,554 14,726
      Treasury bills 9,500 -7,600 -1,000 -11,000
      Retail debt 99 -85 160 -200
      Other -58 -380 -64 -387
 

      Total 11,741 -8,403 10,650 3,139
    Foreign currency borrowings 1,882 150 -1,015 234
 

    Total 13,623 -8,253 9,635 3,373
    Cross-currency swap revaluation 2,512 789 -1,946 358
    Unamortized discounts on debt issues 97 101 239 74
    Obligations related to capital leases -11 -10 -52 -49
  Net change in financing activities 16,221 -7,373 7,876 3,756
Change in cash balance -3,643 -16,758 -25,080 -19,037
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

For inquiries about this publication,
contact Doug Nevison at 613-995-6391.
August 2010