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Highlights of financial results for April and May 2009

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Highlights

April and May 2009: budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion

For the first two months of the 2009–10 fiscal year (April and May), there was a budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion, compared to a deficit of $0.9 billion reported in the same period last year. By month, there was a deficit of $4.0 billion in April and a deficit of $3.5 billion in May. For the two months together, revenues declined by $2.6 billion, or 6.9 per cent, largely reflecting lower corporate income tax and goods and services tax (GST) revenues. The revenue estimates for the first two months of the year include the impact of tax reduction measures for persons and businesses announced in Canada's Economic Action Plan.

Program expenses were up $4.4 billion, or 13.4 per cent, mainly reflecting higher Employment Insurance (EI) benefits, higher transfers to other levels of government and the impact of measures to support the automotive industry. Public debt charges declined by $0.3 billion due to a decrease in the average effective interest rate on the stock of interest-bearing debt.

Note to readers:

Beginning with this issue of The Fiscal Monitor, the methodology for estimating monthly energy tax and other excise tax revenues (which primarily reflects taxes on alcohol and tobacco) has been modified from the cash collection-based approach used in 2008–09 to an assessment-based approach. Correspondingly, energy tax and other excise tax revenues from 2008–09 are being restated to be consistent with the current year's methodology. While the overall impact on the fiscal year is minimal, this will have a small impact on monthly revenues and therefore the monthly budgetary balance.

In addition, the methodology for recognizing monthly fiscal transfers to provinces and territories has been modified for 2009–10 to better reflect the substance of these transactions. Fiscal transfers from 2008–09 are being restated to be consistent with the revised approach. This restatement will not have an impact on the total amount of fiscal transfers recognized for the April 2008 to March 2009 period, but will have an impact on monthly expenses and the monthly budgetary balance.

Note: Unless otherwise noted, changes in financial results are presented on a year-over-year basis.

April and May 2009 budgetary results

Through the first two months of the 2009–10 fiscal year, there was a budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion, compared to a $0.9-billion deficit reported during the same period of 2008–09.

Revenues declined by $2.6 billion, or 6.9 per cent, to $34.5 billion.

  • Personal income tax revenues were down $0.3 billion, or 1.5 per cent, reflecting personal income tax reductions announced in Canada's Economic Action Plan, including increases in the basic personal amount and personal income tax bracket thresholds, and the Home Renovation Tax Credit.
  • Corporate income tax revenues were down $1.3 billion, or 23.5 per cent, as a result of lower installment payments in both months.
  • Other income tax receipts—withholdings from non-residents—rose $0.2 billion, or 20.0 per cent.
  • Excise taxes and duties were down $1.5 billion, or 26.1 per cent, primarily due to a $1.4-billion, or 37.9 per cent, decline in GST revenues. As a value-added tax, the GST can yield volatile net collections on a month-to-month basis due to timing differences between GST owed to the Government and credits claimed for GST paid on inputs. Customs import duties were down $0.1 billion, energy taxes declined by $39 million, and other excise taxes and duties were down $15 million. Revenues from the Air Travellers Security Charge were virtually unchanged.
  • EI premium revenues were up $0.1 billion, or 2.6 per cent. The premium rate was kept stable at $1.73 per $100 of insurable earnings for 2009.
  • Other revenues, consisting of net profits of enterprise Crown corporations, revenues of consolidated Crown corporations, sales of goods and services, return on investments, and foreign exchange revenues, were up $0.3 billion, or 9.6 per cent.

Program expenses in the April to May 2009 period were $36.9 billion, up $4.4 billion, or 13.4 per cent, from the prior year, reflecting an increase in transfer payments, partially offset by a slight decline in operating expenses of departments and agencies.

Transfer payments increased $4.5 billion, or 20.6 per cent.

  • Major transfers to persons, consisting of elderly benefits, EI benefits and children's benefits, rose $1.6 billion, or 15.7 per cent, on a year-over-year basis. Elderly benefits increased 5.5 per cent. EI benefit payments increased $1.3 billion, or 50.5 per cent, reflecting significantly higher regular benefits. Children's benefits, which consist of the Canada Child Tax Benefit and the Universal Child Care Benefit, remained relatively stable compared to the prior year.
  • Major transfers to other levels of government were up $1.6 billion or 19.8 per cent over the prior year, reflecting both a $1.0-billion increase in infrastructure funding provided to Canada's cities and communities and legislated growth in the Canada Health Transfer, the Canada Social Transfer and Equalization. The $1.0-billion increase in infrastructure spending is due to the accelerated payment of the previously announced doubling of the gas tax transfer to provinces and municipalities, as of April 1, 2009.
  • Subsidies and other transfers were up $1.4 billion, or 34.4 per cent, largely reflecting the impact of support for the automotive industry.

Other program expenses consist of operating expenses of Crown corporations, departments, and agencies, including National Defence, and also reflect the ongoing assessment of the Government's liabilities. On a year-over-year basis, these expenses decreased $0.1 billion, or 1.3 per cent.

Public debt charges decreased $0.3 billion, or 4.9 per cent, largely reflecting a lower effective interest rate on the stock of interest-bearing debt.

Revenues and expenses (April to May 2009)

Financial requirement of $13.1 billion for April to May 2009

The budgetary balance is presented on a full accrual basis of accounting, recording government assets and liabilities when they are receivable or incurred, regardless of when the cash is received or paid. In contrast, the financial source/requirement measures the difference between cash coming in to the Government and cash going out. This measure is affected not only by changes in the budgetary balance but also by the cash source/requirement resulting from the Government's investing activities through its acquisition of capital assets and its loans, financial investments and advances, as well as from other activities, including payment of accounts payable and collection of accounts receivable, foreign exchange activities, and the amortization of its tangible capital assets. The difference between the budgetary balance and financial source/requirement is recorded in non-budgetary transactions.

With a budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion and a requirement of $5.6 billion from non-budgetary transactions, there was a financial requirement of $13.1 billion in the April to May period of 2009–10. This was up $0.4 billion from the $12.7-billion financial requirement in the same period the previous year. The year-over-year difference is mainly attributable to the $6.7-billion decline in the budgetary balance, which was largely offset by an increased financial source from foreign exchange activities reflecting the impact of exchange rate movements on the Canadian-dollar value of foreign-denominated assets.

Budgetary Balance

Net financing activities down $8.3 billion

The Government financed this financial requirement of $13.1 billion and reduced market debt by $8.3 billion by reducing its cash balances by $21.4 billion. The decrease in market debt was achieved largely through a reduction in treasury bills and foreign currency borrowings. The level of cash balances varies from month to month based on a number of factors including periodic large debt maturities, which can be quite volatile on a monthly basis. The decrease in cash balances mainly reflects decreased balances at the Bank of Canada to support the Bank's operations to provide liquidity to financial markets. Cash balances at the end of May 2009 stood at $23.6 billion, $10.2 billion above their level at the end of May 2008.

Federal Debt (accumulated deficit)

 

Table 1
Summary statement of transactions
  April May April to May
 


  2008 2009 2008 2009 2008–2009 2009–2010
  ($ millions)
Budgetary transactions            
  Revenues 18,332 17,459 18,769 17,084 37,101 34,543
  Expenses            
    Program expenses -16,594 -18,781 -15,964 -18,133 -32,558 -36,914
    Public debt charges -2,813 -2,660 -2,605 -2,494 -5,418 -5,154
 
  Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) -1,075 -3,982 200 -3,543 -875 -7,525
Non-budgetary transactions -9,362 -5,247 -2,449 -320 -11,811 -5,567
Financial source/requirement -10,437 -9,229 -2,249 -3,863 -12,686 -13,092
Net change in financing activities 6,173 -11,398 8,690 3,053 14,863 -8,345
Net change in cash balances -4,264 -20,627 6,441 -810 2,177 -21,437
Cash balance at end of period         13,422 23,595
Note: Positive numbers indicate net source of funds. Negative numbers indicate net requirement for funds.

 

Table 2
Budgetary revenues
  April May April to May
 


  2008 2009 2008 2009 2008–2009 2009–2010 Change
  ($ millions) (%)
Tax revenues              
  Income taxes              
    Personal income tax 9,297 9,021 8,553 8,570 17,850 17,591 -1.5
    Corporate income tax 2,875 2,368 2,827 1,995 5,702 4,363 -23.5
    Other income tax 424 533 417 476 841 1,009 20.0
 


    Total income tax 12,596 11,922 11,797 11,041 24,393 22,963 -5.9
  Excise taxes and duties              
    Goods and services tax 1,555 1,036 2,130 1,252 3,685 2,288 -37.9
    Customs import duties 315 275 294 243 609 518 -14.9
    Energy taxes 390 372 409 388 799 760 -4.9
    Other excise taxes and duties 316 330 418 389 734 719 -2.0
    Air Travellers Security Charge 38 37 36 36 74 73 -1.4
 


    Total excise taxes and duties 2,614 2,050 3,287 2,308 5,901 4,358 -26.1
 


  Total tax revenues 15,210 13,972 15,084 13,349 30,294 27,321 -9.8
Employment Insurance premiums 1,757 1,804 1,655 1,696 3,412 3,500 2.6
Other revenues 1,365 1,683 2,030 2,039 3,395 3,722 9.6
Total revenues 18,332 17,459 18,769 17,084 37,101 34,543 -6.9
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

 

Table 3
Budgetary expenses
  April  May April to May
 


  2008 2009 2008 2009 2008–2009 2009–2010 Change
  ($ millions) (%)
Transfer payments              
  Transfers to persons              
    Elderly benefits 2,700 2,836 2,705 2,864 5,405 5,700 5.5
    Employment Insurance benefits 1,456 1,868 1,026 1,867 2,482 3,735 50.5
    Children's benefits 1,017 1,029 1,025 1,019 2,042 2,048 0.3
 


    Total 5,173 5,733 4,756 5,750 9,929 11,483 15.7
  Transfers to other levels
     of government
             
    Support for health and
     other social programs
             
      Canada Health Transfer 1,886 2,040 1,886 2,039 3,772 4,079 8.1
      Canada Social Transfer 880 905 880 905 1,760 1,810 2.8
 


    Total 2,766 2,945 2,766 2,944 5,532 5,889 6.5
    Fiscal transfers 1,450 1,626 1,449 1,551 2,899 3,177 9.6
    Canada's cities and communities 0 957 0 0 0 957 n/a
    Alternative Payments for
     Standing Programs
-219 -224 -220 -224 -439 -448 2.1
 


    Total 3,997 5,304 3,995 4,271 7,992 9,575 19.8
  Subsidies and other transfers              
    Agriculture and Agri-Food 94 88 50 83 144 171 18.8
    Foreign Affairs and
     International Trade
197 131 285 457 482 588 22.0
    Health 157 195 223 235 380 430 13.2
    Human Resources and
     Skills Development
122 137 103 92 225 229 1.8
    Indian Affairs and
     Northern Development
659 688 377 305 1,036 993 -4.2
    Industry 136 141 95 50 231 191 -17.3
    Other 834 1,142 620 1,566 1,454 2,708 86.2
 


    Total 2,199 2,522 1,753 2,788 3,952 5,310 34.4
 


  Total transfer payments 11,369 13,559 10,504 12,809 21,873 26,368 20.6
Other program expenses              
  Crown corporation expenses              
    Canadian Broadcasting
     Corporation
93 88 93 87 186 175 -5.9
    Canada Mortgage and
     Housing Corporation
133 143 301 151 434 294 -32.3
    Other 543 568 320 377 863 945 9.5
 


    Total 769 799 714 615 1,483 1,414 -4.7
  Defence 1,261 1,302 1,341 1,407 2,602 2,709 4.1
  All other departments
     and agencies
3,195 3,121 3,405 3,302 6,600 6,423 -2.7
 


  Total other program expenses 5,225 5,222 5,460 5,324 10,685 10,546 -1.3
 


Total program expenses 16,594 18,781 15,964 18,133 32,558 36,914 13.4
Public debt charges 2,813 2,660 2,605 2,494 5,418 5,154 -4.9
Total expenses 19,407 21,441 18,569 20,627 37,976 42,068 10.8
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

 

Table 4
The budgetary balance and financial source/requirement
  April May April to May
 


  2008 2009 2008 2009 2008–2009 2009–2010
  ($ millions)
Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) -1,075 -3,982 200 -3,543 -875 -7,525
Non-budgetary transactions            
  Capital investing activities -104 168 33 10 -71 178
  Other investing activities -2,773 -2,278 -4,737 -2,184 -7,510 -4,462
  Pension and other liabilities 361 349 468 485 829 834
  Other activities            
    Accounts payable, receivables,
     accruals and allowances
-7,013 -7,325 1,278 -464 -5,735 -7,789
    Foreign exchange activities -129 3,533 232 1,533 103 5,066
    Amortization of tangible capital assets 296 306 277 300 573 606
 


    Total other activities -6,846 -3,486 1,787 1,369 -5,059 -2,117
  Total non-budgetary transactions -9,362 -5,247 -2,449 -320 -11,811 -5,567
Financial source/requirement -10,437 -9,229 -2,249 -3,863 -12,686 -13,092
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

 

Table 5
Financial source/requirement and net financing activities
  April May April to May
 


  2008 2009 2008 2009 2008–2009 2009–2010
  ($ millions)
Financial source/requirement -10,437 -9,229 -2,249 -3,863 -12,686 -13,092
Net increase (+)/decrease (-)
in financing activities
           
  Unmatured debt transactions            
    Canadian currency borrowings            
      Marketable bonds 622 1,495 4,805 7,859 5,427 9,354
      Treasury bills 6,000 -8,300 5,300 -2,200 11,300 -10,500
      Canada Savings Bonds -2 73 -19 -12 -21 61
      Other -2 -2 -143 -4 -145 -6
 


      Total 6,618 -6,734 9,943 5,643 16,561 -1,091
    Foreign currency borrowings 170 -2,365 -623 -532 -453 -2,897
 


      Total 6,788 -9,099 9,320 5,111 16,108 -3,988
    Cross-currency swap revaluation -781 -2,274 -511 -2,184 -1,292 -4,458
    Unamortized discounts on debt issues 175 -12 -87 154 88 142
    Obligations related to capital leases -9 -13 -32 -28 -41 -41
  Net change in financing activities 6,173 -11,398 8,690 3,053 14,863 -8,345
Change in cash balance -4,264 -20,627 6,441 -810 2,177 -21,437
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

For inquiries about this publication, contact Phil King at 613-992-3448.
July 2009