HighlightsApril and May 2009: budgetary deficit of $7.5 billionFor the first two months of the 2009–10 fiscal year (April and May), there was a budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion, compared to a deficit of $0.9 billion reported in the same period last year. By month, there was a deficit of $4.0 billion in April and a deficit of $3.5 billion in May. For the two months together, revenues declined by $2.6 billion, or 6.9 per cent, largely reflecting lower corporate income tax and goods and services tax (GST) revenues. The revenue estimates for the first two months of the year include the impact of tax reduction measures for persons and businesses announced in Canada's Economic Action Plan. Program expenses were up $4.4 billion, or 13.4 per cent, mainly reflecting higher Employment Insurance (EI) benefits, higher transfers to other levels of government and the impact of measures to support the automotive industry. Public debt charges declined by $0.3 billion due to a decrease in the average effective interest rate on the stock of interest-bearing debt. Note to readers: Beginning with this issue of The Fiscal Monitor, the methodology for estimating monthly energy tax and other excise tax revenues (which primarily reflects taxes on alcohol and tobacco) has been modified from the cash collection-based approach used in 2008–09 to an assessment-based approach. Correspondingly, energy tax and other excise tax revenues from 2008–09 are being restated to be consistent with the current year's methodology. While the overall impact on the fiscal year is minimal, this will have a small impact on monthly revenues and therefore the monthly budgetary balance. In addition, the methodology for recognizing monthly fiscal transfers to provinces and territories has been modified for 2009–10 to better reflect the substance of these transactions. Fiscal transfers from 2008–09 are being restated to be consistent with the revised approach. This restatement will not have an impact on the total amount of fiscal transfers recognized for the April 2008 to March 2009 period, but will have an impact on monthly expenses and the monthly budgetary balance. |
Note: Unless otherwise noted, changes in financial results are presented on a year-over-year basis.
Through the first two months of the 2009–10 fiscal year, there was a budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion, compared to a $0.9-billion deficit reported during the same period of 2008–09.
Revenues declined by $2.6 billion, or 6.9 per cent, to $34.5 billion.
Program expenses in the April to May 2009 period were $36.9 billion, up $4.4 billion, or 13.4 per cent, from the prior year, reflecting an increase in transfer payments, partially offset by a slight decline in operating expenses of departments and agencies.
Transfer payments increased $4.5 billion, or 20.6 per cent.
Other program expenses consist of operating expenses of Crown corporations, departments, and agencies, including National Defence, and also reflect the ongoing assessment of the Government's liabilities. On a year-over-year basis, these expenses decreased $0.1 billion, or 1.3 per cent.
Public debt charges decreased $0.3 billion, or 4.9 per cent, largely reflecting a lower effective interest rate on the stock of interest-bearing debt.

The budgetary balance is presented on a full accrual basis of accounting, recording government assets and liabilities when they are receivable or incurred, regardless of when the cash is received or paid. In contrast, the financial source/requirement measures the difference between cash coming in to the Government and cash going out. This measure is affected not only by changes in the budgetary balance but also by the cash source/requirement resulting from the Government's investing activities through its acquisition of capital assets and its loans, financial investments and advances, as well as from other activities, including payment of accounts payable and collection of accounts receivable, foreign exchange activities, and the amortization of its tangible capital assets. The difference between the budgetary balance and financial source/requirement is recorded in non-budgetary transactions.
With a budgetary deficit of $7.5 billion and a requirement of $5.6 billion from non-budgetary transactions, there was a financial requirement of $13.1 billion in the April to May period of 2009–10. This was up $0.4 billion from the $12.7-billion financial requirement in the same period the previous year. The year-over-year difference is mainly attributable to the $6.7-billion decline in the budgetary balance, which was largely offset by an increased financial source from foreign exchange activities reflecting the impact of exchange rate movements on the Canadian-dollar value of foreign-denominated assets.

The Government financed this financial requirement of $13.1 billion and reduced market debt by $8.3 billion by reducing its cash balances by $21.4 billion. The decrease in market debt was achieved largely through a reduction in treasury bills and foreign currency borrowings. The level of cash balances varies from month to month based on a number of factors including periodic large debt maturities, which can be quite volatile on a monthly basis. The decrease in cash balances mainly reflects decreased balances at the Bank of Canada to support the Bank's operations to provide liquidity to financial markets. Cash balances at the end of May 2009 stood at $23.6 billion, $10.2 billion above their level at the end of May 2008.

| April | May | April to May | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008–2009 | 2009–2010 | |
| ($ millions) | ||||||
| Budgetary transactions | ||||||
| Revenues | 18,332 | 17,459 | 18,769 | 17,084 | 37,101 | 34,543 |
| Expenses | ||||||
| Program expenses | -16,594 | -18,781 | -15,964 | -18,133 | -32,558 | -36,914 |
| Public debt charges | -2,813 | -2,660 | -2,605 | -2,494 | -5,418 | -5,154 |
| Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) | -1,075 | -3,982 | 200 | -3,543 | -875 | -7,525 |
| Non-budgetary transactions | -9,362 | -5,247 | -2,449 | -320 | -11,811 | -5,567 |
| Financial source/requirement | -10,437 | -9,229 | -2,249 | -3,863 | -12,686 | -13,092 |
| Net change in financing activities | 6,173 | -11,398 | 8,690 | 3,053 | 14,863 | -8,345 |
| Net change in cash balances | -4,264 | -20,627 | 6,441 | -810 | 2,177 | -21,437 |
| Cash balance at end of period | 13,422 | 23,595 | ||||
| Note: Positive numbers indicate net source of funds. Negative numbers indicate net requirement for funds. | ||||||
| April | May | April to May | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008–2009 | 2009–2010 | Change | |
| ($ millions) | (%) | ||||||
| Tax revenues | |||||||
| Income taxes | |||||||
| Personal income tax | 9,297 | 9,021 | 8,553 | 8,570 | 17,850 | 17,591 | -1.5 |
| Corporate income tax | 2,875 | 2,368 | 2,827 | 1,995 | 5,702 | 4,363 | -23.5 |
| Other income tax | 424 | 533 | 417 | 476 | 841 | 1,009 | 20.0 |
| Total income tax | 12,596 | 11,922 | 11,797 | 11,041 | 24,393 | 22,963 | -5.9 |
| Excise taxes and duties | |||||||
| Goods and services tax | 1,555 | 1,036 | 2,130 | 1,252 | 3,685 | 2,288 | -37.9 |
| Customs import duties | 315 | 275 | 294 | 243 | 609 | 518 | -14.9 |
| Energy taxes | 390 | 372 | 409 | 388 | 799 | 760 | -4.9 |
| Other excise taxes and duties | 316 | 330 | 418 | 389 | 734 | 719 | -2.0 |
| Air Travellers Security Charge | 38 | 37 | 36 | 36 | 74 | 73 | -1.4 |
| Total excise taxes and duties | 2,614 | 2,050 | 3,287 | 2,308 | 5,901 | 4,358 | -26.1 |
| Total tax revenues | 15,210 | 13,972 | 15,084 | 13,349 | 30,294 | 27,321 | -9.8 |
| Employment Insurance premiums | 1,757 | 1,804 | 1,655 | 1,696 | 3,412 | 3,500 | 2.6 |
| Other revenues | 1,365 | 1,683 | 2,030 | 2,039 | 3,395 | 3,722 | 9.6 |
| Total revenues | 18,332 | 17,459 | 18,769 | 17,084 | 37,101 | 34,543 | -6.9 |
| Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. | |||||||
| April | May | April to May | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008–2009 | 2009–2010 | Change | |
| ($ millions) | (%) | ||||||
| Transfer payments | |||||||
| Transfers to persons | |||||||
| Elderly benefits | 2,700 | 2,836 | 2,705 | 2,864 | 5,405 | 5,700 | 5.5 |
| Employment Insurance benefits | 1,456 | 1,868 | 1,026 | 1,867 | 2,482 | 3,735 | 50.5 |
| Children's benefits | 1,017 | 1,029 | 1,025 | 1,019 | 2,042 | 2,048 | 0.3 |
| Total | 5,173 | 5,733 | 4,756 | 5,750 | 9,929 | 11,483 | 15.7 |
| Transfers to other levels of government |
|||||||
| Support for health and other social programs |
|||||||
| Canada Health Transfer | 1,886 | 2,040 | 1,886 | 2,039 | 3,772 | 4,079 | 8.1 |
| Canada Social Transfer | 880 | 905 | 880 | 905 | 1,760 | 1,810 | 2.8 |
| Total | 2,766 | 2,945 | 2,766 | 2,944 | 5,532 | 5,889 | 6.5 |
| Fiscal transfers | 1,450 | 1,626 | 1,449 | 1,551 | 2,899 | 3,177 | 9.6 |
| Canada's cities and communities | 0 | 957 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 957 | n/a |
| Alternative Payments for Standing Programs |
-219 | -224 | -220 | -224 | -439 | -448 | 2.1 |
| Total | 3,997 | 5,304 | 3,995 | 4,271 | 7,992 | 9,575 | 19.8 |
| Subsidies and other transfers | |||||||
| Agriculture and Agri-Food | 94 | 88 | 50 | 83 | 144 | 171 | 18.8 |
| Foreign Affairs and International Trade |
197 | 131 | 285 | 457 | 482 | 588 | 22.0 |
| Health | 157 | 195 | 223 | 235 | 380 | 430 | 13.2 |
| Human Resources and Skills Development |
122 | 137 | 103 | 92 | 225 | 229 | 1.8 |
| Indian Affairs and Northern Development |
659 | 688 | 377 | 305 | 1,036 | 993 | -4.2 |
| Industry | 136 | 141 | 95 | 50 | 231 | 191 | -17.3 |
| Other | 834 | 1,142 | 620 | 1,566 | 1,454 | 2,708 | 86.2 |
| Total | 2,199 | 2,522 | 1,753 | 2,788 | 3,952 | 5,310 | 34.4 |
| Total transfer payments | 11,369 | 13,559 | 10,504 | 12,809 | 21,873 | 26,368 | 20.6 |
| Other program expenses | |||||||
| Crown corporation expenses | |||||||
| Canadian Broadcasting Corporation |
93 | 88 | 93 | 87 | 186 | 175 | -5.9 |
| Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation |
133 | 143 | 301 | 151 | 434 | 294 | -32.3 |
| Other | 543 | 568 | 320 | 377 | 863 | 945 | 9.5 |
| Total | 769 | 799 | 714 | 615 | 1,483 | 1,414 | -4.7 |
| Defence | 1,261 | 1,302 | 1,341 | 1,407 | 2,602 | 2,709 | 4.1 |
| All other departments and agencies |
3,195 | 3,121 | 3,405 | 3,302 | 6,600 | 6,423 | -2.7 |
| Total other program expenses | 5,225 | 5,222 | 5,460 | 5,324 | 10,685 | 10,546 | -1.3 |
| Total program expenses | 16,594 | 18,781 | 15,964 | 18,133 | 32,558 | 36,914 | 13.4 |
| Public debt charges | 2,813 | 2,660 | 2,605 | 2,494 | 5,418 | 5,154 | -4.9 |
| Total expenses | 19,407 | 21,441 | 18,569 | 20,627 | 37,976 | 42,068 | 10.8 |
| Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. | |||||||
| April | May | April to May | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008–2009 | 2009–2010 | |
| ($ millions) | ||||||
| Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) | -1,075 | -3,982 | 200 | -3,543 | -875 | -7,525 |
| Non-budgetary transactions | ||||||
| Capital investing activities | -104 | 168 | 33 | 10 | -71 | 178 |
| Other investing activities | -2,773 | -2,278 | -4,737 | -2,184 | -7,510 | -4,462 |
| Pension and other liabilities | 361 | 349 | 468 | 485 | 829 | 834 |
| Other activities | ||||||
| Accounts payable, receivables, accruals and allowances |
-7,013 | -7,325 | 1,278 | -464 | -5,735 | -7,789 |
| Foreign exchange activities | -129 | 3,533 | 232 | 1,533 | 103 | 5,066 |
| Amortization of tangible capital assets | 296 | 306 | 277 | 300 | 573 | 606 |
| Total other activities | -6,846 | -3,486 | 1,787 | 1,369 | -5,059 | -2,117 |
| Total non-budgetary transactions | -9,362 | -5,247 | -2,449 | -320 | -11,811 | -5,567 |
| Financial source/requirement | -10,437 | -9,229 | -2,249 | -3,863 | -12,686 | -13,092 |
| Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. | ||||||
| April | May | April to May | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008–2009 | 2009–2010 | |
| ($ millions) | ||||||
| Financial source/requirement | -10,437 | -9,229 | -2,249 | -3,863 | -12,686 | -13,092 |
| Net increase (+)/decrease (-) in financing activities |
||||||
| Unmatured debt transactions | ||||||
| Canadian currency borrowings | ||||||
| Marketable bonds | 622 | 1,495 | 4,805 | 7,859 | 5,427 | 9,354 |
| Treasury bills | 6,000 | -8,300 | 5,300 | -2,200 | 11,300 | -10,500 |
| Canada Savings Bonds | -2 | 73 | -19 | -12 | -21 | 61 |
| Other | -2 | -2 | -143 | -4 | -145 | -6 |
| Total | 6,618 | -6,734 | 9,943 | 5,643 | 16,561 | -1,091 |
| Foreign currency borrowings | 170 | -2,365 | -623 | -532 | -453 | -2,897 |
| Total | 6,788 | -9,099 | 9,320 | 5,111 | 16,108 | -3,988 |
| Cross-currency swap revaluation | -781 | -2,274 | -511 | -2,184 | -1,292 | -4,458 |
| Unamortized discounts on debt issues | 175 | -12 | -87 | 154 | 88 | 142 |
| Obligations related to capital leases | -9 | -13 | -32 | -28 | -41 | -41 |
| Net change in financing activities | 6,173 | -11,398 | 8,690 | 3,053 | 14,863 | -8,345 |
| Change in cash balance | -4,264 | -20,627 | 6,441 | -810 | 2,177 | -21,437 |
| Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. | ||||||
For inquiries about this publication, contact Phil King at 613-992-3448.
July 2009